12 ordspråk av Adrian Foster

Adrian Foster

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A strong number will keep alive speculation of more rate hikes. It should give some support to the dollar.

Australia's interest-rate margin will be maintained. The risk-reward for the Australian dollar is the upside.

It's of interest whether he confirms that he thinks he was misinterpreted. It looks like it's hard for him to say otherwise, so that's slightly dollar- supportive.

Looking internationally, the market still has a hefty appetite for yield that will support the currency. New Zealand yields are on a similar par with those of Kazakhstan.

Recent price action suggests the dollar-yuan is more loosely following the dollar.

Say the RBNZ cuts interest rates three times, which most agree would be aggressive, you still have New Zealand interest rates above 6 percent. In an environment of yield, that will still offer the New Zealand dollar support.

Something like this comes out, people have a natural reaction to square their currency positions if they're on the wrong side of them. When there's news flow and people are uncomfortable with it, they chop out and that gives you the immediate reaction.

The dollar got sold off and then rallied back to the levels prior to the news. The jobless figure is important and a strong number will keep alive speculation of more rate hikes.

The U.K. over the past six months shows us how the economy can go from looking quite weak to improving in reaction to a rate cut. It will also occur in New Zealand, so the RBNZ is unlikely to cut aggressively.

There were definitely people putting bets on the Singapore dollar in anticipation of the central bank making a change in policy. They've clearly been disappointed.

There's quite a healthy outlook for the economy and inflationary pressures are fairly subdued. I can't see why they need to do anything. They'll keep the policy statement unchanged.

There's this building case that the BOJ will be changing policy soon. That's the trigger we've been looking for regarding the yen.

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