490 ordspråk av Anthony Chan

Anthony Chan

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Corporate earnings growth is slowing. Earnings might be growing at 9 to 10 percent, and that's still impressive. But they're going in the wrong direction.

This report is actually quite favorable for financial markets since we see very little inflation pressure while simultaneously seeing job creation inching up,

Additionally, it was encouraging to see a small increase in the length of the work week, which usually serves as a leading indicator of future employment growth.

The jump was a bounce back from November.

I would say that momentum (in the housing market) probably will not continue, since you don't see the same strength in permits that you do in construction,

We are not likely to see faster employment growth until the current growth trend in productivity slows significantly.

We're basically missing 5.1 million jobs at this stage of the expansion. You could even call it the case of the missing jobs, ... different paradigm.

Yes, Greenspan does admit the obvious, that the real federal funds rate has risen considerably, but he quickly concludes that the rate 'remains fairly low'. This is Fed-speak for the notion that the Fed will continue to raise rates by a quarter percentage point...as far as the eye can see.

I think they feel the inflation risks are inching higher, but I don't think they're inching so much higher to suggest we have a serious problem at hand,

This report was very encouraging. It gives us stronger employment growth than the market was expecting while none of negative side effects of economic growth are present, such as higher inflationary pressure from wages.

This would provide another pillar of support for the view that the economic recovery in the year ahead is likely to be gradual,

This is a report that represents judgment day for the Federal Reserve,

Given our forecast, we do not expect that this statistical release will have much impact on the policy debate when the Fed meets,

I think the seeds are in place for a soft landing.

Clearly labor markets are very, very tight,

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