84 ordspråk av Barry Ritholtz

Barry Ritholtz

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Every buck that they are forced to spend elsewhere is that much less money (spent) on other issues. With technology it may not fall dollar-for-dollar, but you have to think that it's going to pinch a little bit.

Regardless of whether this upcoming release shows inflation today, given the supply shock to oil, we're expected to see inflation move higher in the next few months. It would certainly put a fork in the concept that the Fed has the opportunity to pause.

When you stop and think about it, if the Fed were to pause, what does it actually do for anybody ... in the afflicted Gulf region? At this point they're more concerned with basic food and shelter and not really comparison-shopping for mortgages.

If the Fed were to pause, what does it actually do for anybody ... in the afflicted Gulf region? At this point they're more concerned with basic food and shelter and not really comparison-shopping for mortgages.

If real estate cools dramatically, there goes half our economic growth. There is danger of recession — and you know what recessions do to the stock market.

It's astonishing that anyone is surprised that there is inflation, but I guess the stock reaction this week shows you that there is a greater realization of it right now.

What's going on is that fund managers have come to realize that economic growth is slower than they thought and inflation is higher, so they're backing off right now. There's no reason to jump in here and there's lots of confusion about the future.

You would think that the earnings would be a positive catalyst, but in order for that to happen, we really need to see better than expected results. We need to see upside surprises beyond the areas we already know are working, like energy, mining and coal.

I think the stock bounce we've seen has run out of steam. I'm looking for us to sell off into the summer, and maybe after that, we'll be able to see a decent enough bounce to sustain us.

We'll see more of the same from the Fed until there's a marked improvement in hiring,

If you look at which sectors have done particularly well this year, including home builders, mining, energy, other commodities, they have done well because of unusual factors, ... such as the still historically low interest rates, which are already rising, or demand from China for commodities.

We saw a fairly robust rotation out of fixed income and into stocks in the first two days of the quarter. The strength of that took some people by surprise, and now we're seeing markets drifting a bit.

It's been a rough week, and at the end of the month, a painful round trip,

Stock valuations have been stretched, everyone knows a rate hike is coming and great earnings are already baked into the stock market, so you're seeing this churning, and unfortunately, I would expect it to continue for the next few weeks.

We need to see a confirmation in the next few weeks. We need another session of gains of 1 to 2 percent for all the major indexes before I'll be confident that this is a bottom.

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