181 ordspråk av David Healy

David Healy

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Considering all the headwinds you had to deal with in the early part of the year, I think it turned out rather well.

I suspect that Wagoner is under a lot of pressure from the board to turn things around. To me it seems the company is in crisis mode.

Anyone who was surprised by Toyota's forecast has been living on another planet.

I think GM's numbers will be close to 9.1 million to 9.2 million vehicles in 2006 thanks to its strength in the Asia-Pacific market. It's likely that Toyota will pass GM in volume worldwide, but I don't think it's going to happen in 2006.

A Jan. 4 reporting date for 'December' sales provides both the temptation and the opportunity for some creative finagling of the sales numbers.

I don't think Wall Street had fully realized the dependence of GM's and Ford's North American earnings on a few light-truck models. That was the nasty surprise that drove their shares down.

What GM is talking about in my book are not hybrids. These are trucks with humongous starter motors.

Detroit was an island surrounded by prosperity this year. The big SUV sales collapsed and did a number on their profitability. Both GM and Ford will lose a little market share in 2006, but not at the rate of 2005.

Truck-based models cost less for U.S. car markers to produce because they already have all the parts developed for their truck business. These truck-based SUVs have been the most profitable segment for Detroit in recent years, so developing new car-based models will eat into margins.

You have to praise their sense of realism, that they'll never get to a 25 percent share again. They have got to do this to survive.

I was expecting an extremely ugly quarter but this was a great deal uglier than I'd thought.

Asian makers particularly are exploiting Detroit's 2,000 dollar per-vehicle cost-of-production disadvantage (which largely stems from the US manufacturers' enormous legacy costs) to offer stylistically and technologically more advanced vehicles.

I guess I'm a little skeptical about the product side of this restructuring. Can they turn around the decline in market share with their new product?

Imports and transplants have eaten Detroit's lunch and are beginning to nibble at its dinner as well.

It must have been a really strong close to the month. December wasn't a big blowout for incentives, so there wasn't a lot of payback in January and consumer confidence really took a jump.

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