22 ordspråk av David Shulman

David Shulman

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 [Ultimately investors themselves are to blame, of course.] Normally the last cycle's winners don't win in the next cycle, ... But people want to play them because they look cheap compared to the previous boom.

 Expect 2006 to be far more volatile than 2005.

 For example, 1970, 1974, 1982, 1990 and 2002 were recession years and 1966, 1986 and 1994 were associated with mid-cycle slowdowns.

 How much of this is post facto rationalization?

 I picked Mike because I know his talents as a creative artist,

 I think the movement in the bond market is probably short-term but it still probably has a little bit to go.

 I want to appease everyone,

 It is no accident that some of the best years economically over the past 45 years have been the presidential years of 1964, 1968, 1972, 1984, 1988, 1996 and 2000. Even 2004 wasn't all that bad in the light of history.

 Make no mistake. This is a soft landing. Typically, peak-to-trough declines amount to 50 percent.

 My sense is the next correction will be serious.

 Near-term, I think stocks probably will act reasonably well following the bond market. As long as bonds act well, stocks will act well.

 Normally the last cycle's winners don't win in the next cycle. But people want to play them because they look cheap compared to the previous boom.

 Our logo is located in the same place as one of our minor competitors,

 The earnings warnings show that profits are under pressure, but it's not affecting the overall market because of the big move in interest rates. The key for stocks is still the bond market.

 The era of the increase in consumer expenditures exceeding income growth is about to end.


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