20 ordspråk av Gerald Lucas

Gerald Lucas

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 For the last two days [Treasury prices] have slowly been grinding higher and that was basically erased this morning in about 15 minutes after the durable goods data.

 He opened the door a little bit to a Fed pause, and to the chance that maybe the economy hasn't been quite as strong as he had been saying.

 Historically, dollar weakness does lead to higher back end rates.

 If I had $100 million to put into a single Treasury coupon security, I would be defensive and invest in two-year notes. Rates are going up, and there's less risk in the two-year.

 It will be hard for him to give guidance, because the Fed is not certain as to exactly where they are going and they are very data-dependent.

 People are getting defensive, setting up for payrolls. We live from payroll to payroll, and the market fiddles around in between.

 Poole was both bullish and bearish. The market hasn't moved much. I think we'll be in a range around 4.75 percent level prior to payrolls.

 Pressure from bunds is working its way into the Treasury market. Bunds and Treasuries are moving hand in hand.

 Since it's broken through that, that sets a negative tone for the market.

 The Fed is erring on the side of fighting inflation and is willing to risk slower growth.

 There are probably some rate locks coming off.

 There are some fears about inflation but people are even more concerned about what's happening in the corporate credit market.

 There is some rate-locking going on, and that's pushing the market lower.

 There is very much of a flight to quality, although by now financial markets are settling down a bit.

 There will be fairly good demand for the 30-year bond.


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