286 ordspråk av Hugh Johnson

Hugh Johnson

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[They] face each other across the road like mad old duchesses in party clothes.

If you're going to bet on economists and strategists on one hand, and the markets on the other, take the markets every time.

Obviously it's very bone-chilling when you hear his words. Announcements like this tend to stall us momentarily, but they don't derail the rally or recovery.

The question I get asked a lot is what's it going to take to get investors back in the game. One is leadership, for the President to take some steps and make some statements that show he's ahead of the curve.

Mutual funds are clearly a very big reason why the stock market is declining, ... This is the other side of the mountain.

That's only the first quarter, and the trend definitely continued in the second quarter.

Ordinarily, we would have a technical bounce at this level. But then the question is, have you seen a bear market bottom? I don't know if we have at this point.

Four days ain't enough, ... It's still too soon for investors to jump back on board until you get more confirmation from the stock market. We've had so many false starts before.

The numbers across the board were pretty surprising. I would say that improvements in the leading indicators of the economy, like the employment and manufacturing numbers, is very encouraging and indicate that the economy is expanding and not contracting. It also suggests continued expansion into the first quarter.

Everybody's looking for every single data point that can possibly give them an edge in their analysis. I've seen folks put together a ratio of stock prices to weekly jobless claims, suggesting it's a leading indicator. That's preposterous, but there's an urge to move in that direction, to find every leading indicator you can get every day.

Almost every quarter I can remember people have come up with reasons to explain away earnings gains. The truth is that earnings are doing better, and the hope is that, because earnings are improving, companies will begin to hire and spend money on technology.

I'm referred to as a fundamentalist -- a person who cares about company earnings and where the economy is going -- but the truth is I'm a closet technician. I've learned something as we've moved through the bear market: The last people to find out about a problem are research analysts and fundamentally oriented strategists.

As the transition from the bond business to the stock business takes place, the stock business needs to recover.

As the bull market progressed, analysts became more optimistic about next year's earnings. Now, it's the extent to which companies will hit their numbers for 2004 that will make next week so important for the market.

The stock market has become modestly overvalued and investors are using a variety excuses to take money off the table. I wouldn't be surprised if the current, corrective phase continues and the market declines another 5 percent.

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