20 ordspråk av Kevin Giddis

Kevin Giddis

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Tomorrow's 30-year bond auction should attract large accounts and nostalgia buffs that have quietly politicked to get the bellwether back.

What the curve is telling us is that a March increase is a foregone conclusion.

The Fed must now remain aggressive in holding costs down which could take the Fed funds rate up a full percentage point in 2006.

The demand of our debt has come into question.

This indicator isn't very high on most traders 'care index' so the market reaction remains focused on comments by anyone who the markets deem as reliable.

These numbers today, plus the comments by the Fed, are still pointing to more increases by the Federal Open Market Committee in the coming months.

I continue to be surprised and impressed by the U.S. economy. Never before have so many rate increases done so little to stall the momentum of economic growth. Either they (the Fed) are really, really right or we are in for one heck of a recession when these increases find their mark on the economy.

Inflation is still in check. We are not going to see 5 percent on 10-years.

Everyone came in to cover their shorts (positions).

It has been a tough week for the longs and I seriously doubt they will be able to hang on to today's gains, but it might help to remember that.

The Fed has pledged to keep the economy and inflation in check, which they're doing now, which will keep the fed funds rate going higher. Low inflation and global demand for U.S. Treasuries will remain strong in 2006, which will keep long rates low.

Right now, the bond market appears to be suffering from indigestion.

The enormity of the storm's effect is something that is unprecedented. If you look at towns where basically all the infrastructure was wiped out, then you have to evaluate those based on who's coming back to pay taxes and rebuild.

If the 'street' is required to own a large portion of this amount, it likes to have it on their terms, which usually results in higher yields and lower prices.

The 30-year will be of particular interest to traders as it will be the first auction in almost 5 years.

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