166 ordspråk av Lara Rhame

Lara Rhame

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I think it's too soon to call for a bottom simply because history has shown us that with this currency, it's a tough bet.

There still is evidence that the most important sector of the economy, the labor market, is still only in the process of stabilizing. It's not in full-fledged recovery yet.

Most people at the Fed seem to feel that the national economy is strong enough to absorb the effects of Katrina. That to me seems that you will not see the Fed rate hike derailed.

It's probably wise they [cut] before the opening bell. They wouldn't want to [be seen as] reacting to the stock market, but they are trying to show that they are willing to do what it takes to maintain confidence.

We're definitely going to have a strong recovery, but it's not going to be as robust [as people think]. It's going to be the second quarter before we get any kind of positive gross domestic product growth.

This is more an unwind of positions betting against the yen. It's been very surprising how fast this correction has been. The speed of the move has shocked a lot of people.

We're getting to a phase where European data could have more of an impact because a solid U.S. economic scenario is so widely expected. The markets are also very thin, so traders aren't taking on large amounts of risk.

On balance, it is a modestly dollar negative set of data. Retail sales growth was a little weaker than markets had expected, with a downward revision to the ex-auto sector.

Inflation is looking more benign outside of the energy sector.

This really puts the spotlight very acutely on the Fed minutes this afternoon.

The trade number at best leaves the dollar where it was and at worst sparks a substantial dollar decline.

The weaker-than-expected housing number still leaves housing at a fairly high level of activity but will raise some eyebrows as markets worry about the (Federal Reserve) overshooting (with rate hikes).

The bin Laden tape has led to some dollar selling. The tape fits with the view of those who think the U.S. economy is at risk of falling into a sinkhole.

This is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation...and might have markets pricing in a more aggressive Fed,

I would point to the core PCE deflator, which gave a modest upside surprise, ... This is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation ... and might have markets pricing in a more aggressive Fed.

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