80 ordspråk av Lyle Gramley

Lyle Gramley

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I don't think he'll let himself be dragged into that kind response to both sides of political fence.

The apparent bubbling up of inflation we saw earlier in the year has quieted down again. Basically it's a picture of inflation staying reasonably tranquil. The Fed should like that.

The markets are helping the Fed accomplish what it's seeking, to slow down the economy a bit, take some of the froth off,

I think the Fed opened the door for a half-percentage-point increase in August, if it's needed,

I don't think the evidence that small businesses are affected adversely is terribly compelling, ... I think tax cuts had a useful role in getting the economy going again, but we probably could have accomplished much of that with a narrower, more focused tax cut.

It doesn't seem to me at all appropriate for a secretary of the Treasury to make such comments in any event,

The bottom line is that their principal concern is that inflation might go lower, so we'll get the same kind of statement we got last time.

This time, we're starting with an inflation rate that's too low and heading lower, ... What that means is the Fed will sit still until such time as it sees inflation start turning up -- which might not happen until late 2004 or early 2005.

I would interpret higher stock prices in two ways, ... It's an indication of improving confidence in the economy's recovery, and it increases the confidence and wealth of consumers, adding to consumer spending.

This is an economy that's been struggling to keep its head above water for some time, so this kind of a rise in long-term interest rates is not welcome at this point,

My own preference would be for the Fed to state explicitly what it's aiming at, ... That would be helpful in quieting the bond market. But I don't think it's going to happen.

There are a lot of worries circulating around about deflation, ... What the Fed is doing is saying we don't need to worry. If deflation happens, they will counter aggressively, and they have the tools to do so.

He will make the point that, if tax breaks go through, they need to be accompanied by firm discipline on the spending side, ... He's not going to actively oppose [Bush's] proposals -- that would be uncharacteristic.

Mortgage rates haven't been significantly lower than the rates we have today since the 1960s.

This is a very different recovery than any I've seen -- there's none of the dynamism or momentum we normally see,

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