51 ordspråk av Marc Chandler

Marc Chandler

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We should be looking at a Fed statement that increases the view of a March rate hike, and our view is that fed funds will be 5 percent by mid-year.

We're still trading sideways until we hit 108 yen.

Today's comments are back on messages, noting as several European officials have said in recent days, that the G7 statement was aimed at Asia, not Europe. This has helped push the euro to new five-week lows against the yen.

With the ECB out of the way and now the job data out of the way, we're in for another good dollar run.

The quiet in the market has more to do with the holiday than it does with the strike. Foreign exchange is such a global market that if there's a staffing problem in New York City, they can pick up the slack in London or in other centers.

The market has a strong predisposition to expecting a peak at 4.5 percent, as no month has a 4.75-percent rate completely discounted.

The initial reaction to the budget was kind of blasé.

Coordinated intervention, including Japan intervening on the euro against the yen for the first time, would be the best thing that could happen for the euro.

The pendulum has swung back in favor of a March rate hike. The dollar-bull camp is based on the interest-rate differentials. They have really renewed their widening.

It's unreasonable to expect currency movements to affect trade balances when you have all these other disequilibria like wages.

It does appear that they used the trip to provide cover for delaying a full vote on their bill which would impose a 27.5% tax on all imports from China if it did not allow the yuan to appreciate significantly with six months of passage of the bill.

Through this tightening cycle the market has looked at every opportunity to say the Fed is done. The Fed is not done until the market gets ahead of the Fed and it is not there yet.

I'm confident that no member of the public saw our commercial or logo or telephone number and thought we were actually pit bulls or thought we were actually going to maim somebody or attack somebody.

Demeaning is in the eye of the beholder.

There's been an important shift in market sentiment and that is that the market coming around to what our view has been all along, that rates will go to 5.0 percent by mid-year and the market is beginning to price in 5.25 percent by the end of the year.

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