187 ordspråk av Mark Zandi

Mark Zandi

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If underlying inflation begins to percolate higher, that will mean we will have to struggle with rising prices and higher interest rates.

If my decision were based solely on economic considerations, I would tighten again. I think the economy won't be derailed by this. I think the economy is firm and they (Fed governors) can send a signal that things are as they were.

This is going to keep energy markets on a razor's edge for the rest of the year,

I think they will tighten, but there is a much higher level of uncertainty regarding this decision than at any one since they started over a year ago.

It may very difficult for them to tighten

In November, there will be a lot of ugly economic data out on Katrina's initial impact and that might make it harder for them to move at that time,

The Fed is growing more uncomfortable about inflation, ... This is a more hawkish statement and signals that more tightening is on the way.

If the Fed were going to pause in response to Katrina, it probably would be in November and December,

The data is going to look ugly in the next couple of months.

Some 20 percent of the nation's refining capacity seems to be right in Rita's path. If that gets disrupted at all, then gasoline, jet fuel, natural gas and home heating oil will surge higher.

if the financial markets were reeling and the images from the Gulf were getting worse instead of better, if energy prices were rising instead of falling. But given the economic data and financial markets, there's no reason to make a symbolic move.

[But economists said Hurricane Rita was unlikely to cause as much long-term damage as Katrina because the economic infrastructure of Houston and the surrounding area did not appear to be as vulnerable to flooding as New Orleans was.] It's hard to envision a scenario, ... where Houston is impacted anywhere near as much as New Orleans.

Housing is a fault line in the economy that Greenspan is indeed worried about, but he doesn't think a housing (slowdown) will undermine the expansion.

He said housing has turned increasingly speculative, and a correction in the market is coming, ... But he also said that the correction won't affect the great bulk of homeowners.

Implicitly, ... 'I can keep raising rates, and most homeowners won't suffer.'

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