26 ordspråk av Richard Franulovich

Richard Franulovich

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It is a commodities story in so far as commodity demand is driven by global growth and currencies like the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars should see their exports turn pretty quickly when global demand turns around.

More people are targeting lower levels in the euro and momentum is picking up,

Net-net, given the sharp U.S. upward revisions to payrolls, for the euro to punch higher to fresh highs is nothing short of spectacular,

The dollar's initial reaction was fairly muted, given the size of the negative surprise, but it is ahead of the payrolls report and also because one week's data does not make a trend,

If EUR cannot respond to a wider deficit going into the U.S. long weekend, take as a given that EUR is a truly damaged currency,

Net-net, given the sharp U.S. upward revisions to payrolls, for the euro to punch higher to fresh highs is nothing short of spectacular.

The dollar's initial reaction was fairly muted, given the size of the negative surprise, but it is ahead of the payrolls report and also because one week's data does not make a trend.

If EUR cannot respond to a wider deficit going into the U.S. long weekend, take as a given that EUR is a truly damaged currency.

For a number of years now in a big picture sense, price action in Aussie seems to lead global growth. There is something like a 12 - 18 month lag.

The dollar reaction has been virtually nil in the minutes after the numbers.

Stepped-up U.S. appetite for foreign securities and less foreign appetite for U.S. Treasuries have come together to make this a weak number.

It speaks to a U.S. dollar that is performing very well.

The West Coast Port data suggest underlying trade volumes will provide a decent offsetting boost to the U.S. trade picture, with...U.S. exports outperforming in December.

In so far as this is already discounted by the interest rate futures markets, it is also priced into the euro and we're basically back to square one, where we started the year -- two more hikes here (in the United States), and two more in the euro (zone).

It's not a big surprise. A lot of the things we were looking at such as lower oil prices and higher Boeing deliveries have all conspired to make it a better number.

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