For a number of years now in a big picture sense, price action in Aussie seems to lead global growth. There is something like a 12 - 18 month lag. |
Foreigners love U.S. assets, ... just broad-based appetite for dollar assets. |
Greenspan is speaking on the economy and ... the unmistakable message from the Fed is that hurricanes only represent a transitory risk. |
If EUR cannot respond to a wider deficit going into the U.S. long weekend, take as a given that EUR is a truly damaged currency, |
If EUR cannot respond to a wider deficit going into the U.S. long weekend, take as a given that EUR is a truly damaged currency. |
In so far as this is already discounted by the interest rate futures markets, it is also priced into the euro and we're basically back to square one, where we started the year -- two more hikes here (in the United States), and two more in the euro (zone). |
It is a commodities story in so far as commodity demand is driven by global growth and currencies like the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars should see their exports turn pretty quickly when global demand turns around. |
It speaks to a U.S. dollar that is performing very well. |
It's a neutral to a decent number. I don't think this number adds to the argument that the Fed is stopping (rate rises) at 4.5 percent. |
It's not a big surprise. A lot of the things we were looking at such as lower oil prices and higher Boeing deliveries have all conspired to make it a better number. |
It's still the momentum from the hurricane, |
More people are targeting lower levels in the euro and momentum is picking up, |
Net-net, given the sharp U.S. upward revisions to payrolls, for the euro to punch higher to fresh highs is nothing short of spectacular, |
Net-net, given the sharp U.S. upward revisions to payrolls, for the euro to punch higher to fresh highs is nothing short of spectacular. |
Some well-known commentators on Fed policy have come out and said that the Fed has finished, the Fed is on pause or the Fed should take a pause, |