67 ordspråk av Steve Barrow

Steve Barrow

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A combination of a Bush victory, Republican majority in the House and Senate, together with benign neglect of the dollar could send euro/dollar down into the 70-cent to 75-cent range,

A combination of a Bush victory, Republican majority in the House and Senate, together with benign neglect of the dollar could send euro/dollar down into the 70-cent to 75-cent range.

Any thoughts that the Fed may end the tightening process are likely to be dashed and that will probably support the dollar.

As things stand, the measures and the tone employed by the [currency] pair does not seem strong enough to turn market sentiment on a sixpence. Most likely the bank will have to continue to intervene heavily to stem the strength.

But clearly any view on the Fed now is dependent on how the data comes through and hence we can expect the dollar to be a bit more volatile on data releases, starting with Friday's payrolls.

Do we think it's going to happened? Not in the U.S., so then not in Europe, ... But then there's no evidence that the economy is going to show strong recovery either.

Dollar/yen is slightly higher, perhaps as a consequence of that, with some of the comments sounding a little bit more hopeful in the sense of them not pushing on the anti-China trade legislation that they've brought to Congress. But we'll have to see what happens when they get back (to the U.S.).

Everyone is looking towards (U.S. Treasury Secretary) Larry Summers from the U.S. to tone down his comments on the dollar. His comments at the G20 are crucial if central banks are to intervene again to prop up the euro.

Everyone knows that as soon as London closes tonight, the U.S. won't intervene.

Fed speakers are saying they are going to be vigilant on inflation and if the data suggests they haven't done enough, they will do more. It's a short-term buying opportunity for the dollar.

Fifty basis points is most likely; that's factored into the markets already,

Fifty basis points is most likely; that's factored into the markets already.

History has shown currency intervention is a long drawn-out battle, ... It will take weeks, if not months, with or without the U.S., to boost the euro. It'll take a miracle.

History has shown currency intervention is a long drawn-out battle. It will take weeks, if not months, with or without the U.S., to boost the euro. It'll take a miracle.

However, it is not all bad news as the slide was largely driven by a strong 27.3% rise in imports. While this reflects oil prices, to some extent, underlying imports are rising, which bodes well for the economy.

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