58 ordspråk av Subodh Kumar

Subodh Kumar

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I guess what people are worried about is that the U.S. economy is growing fast enough that inflation is going to become a problem.

If you put together a ruling in favor of one of the largest industrial sectors in the U.S. and positive news on large companies, such as GM, it's not a surprise to see the market up today.

Expectations are pretty much in line. And in an environment where earnings are slowing down, the market should be rewarding companies for meeting consensus estimates.

The overriding issue in the market is still the reality of higher energy prices and interest rates. It looks like these things are holding the market back, even though earnings are good and the economy, both here and globally, seems OK.

With close to 20 per cent of the S&P 500 companies having reported, year-over-year operating earnings growth for the third quarter at 14.9 per cent appears in line (versus above consensus for recent quarters) but still good,

We expect earnings momentum to slow but think an earnings decline likely only after mid-2007.

Generally, I don't think it will be a damper on earnings. There are some things you can measure like near-term revenue loss because restaurants have been shut off and stores have been shut off. But if you look at previous disasters like Hurricane Andrew, the expenditure on replacement of homes and capital goods and spending on things like supplies for workers was quite strong.

Sooner or later it will be appropriate for the Fed to pause, regardless of whether or not we get a signal in that direction. There is no reason for them to invert the yield curve. Inflation is contained and the economy is okay. I don't see a reason for them to take the risk of keeping raising rates.

Stocks suffered today as concerns about inflation, higher oil prices, earnings and a new hurricane mounted. The outlook is a bit uncertain, and uncertainty is never good for stocks.

Very high short interest numbers could be a positive for the market since it suggests this market rally was not expected by bears. If the market has recovered, then people have to cover their short positions, which means there will be more buying power.

Until we get clear signs of a corporate recovery, the market is going to remain is this tight trading range.

Market players are very reluctant to make strong commitments until they get signals that operating earnings are starting to improve.

We are seeing a pullback on stocks because many investors are concerned with the outlook for interest rates and with the economy at the start of 2006. The rebound in oil in the past couple of days is also hurting some stocks, especially the ones related to consumer spending, such as retailers.

I think we're in a situation where some earnings will miss (forecasts), but not as much as some bearish people expect, ... If this is the case, the S&P 500 is likely to remain in the trading range it's been in.

It's easy because the euro is so visible, ... And besides, in the tech sector, you can't really blame oil prices.

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