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Tetsu Emori

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Crude and gasoline prices are a little overboard so they are taking profit.

I don't think Iran will stop oil exports because of the money, but we have to wait and see for the IAEA meeting.

People are watching the IAEA meeting, but it has already been factored in. We don't expect that Iran would cut production or exports.

Last week, there was an attack by terrorists in Saudi Arabia and that's why the market jumped, but the Saudi authorities were successful in foiling the attack so this calmed the market a bit, prompting traders to have a reason to sell.

People are still watching political risks.

The traders are looking at the geopolitical risk in Iran. They are worried that if the U.S. attacks Iran at some stage, it would impact crude oil prices in the future, so they don't want to sell.

Traders are worried that U.S. refineries don't have enough capacity for gasoline production ahead of the summer driving season.

The production of gasoline in the U.S. is quite limited compared against the same period last year. And the refinery bottleneck situation is still a problem that drives the market.

The situations in Nigeria, Iran and Iraq remain uncertain. Fears of supply disruptions from these oil-producing nations remain.

If the US attacks Iran, oil prices could rise 20-30 dollars in one day. Nobody wants to see that.

Over the last couple of days prices surged to near-record highs, and so traders are now taking profit ahead of the long weekend.

The market sentiment now is much more nervous. Things haven't changed so much but as we approach the summer driving season we'll need more crude to make gasoline and we know also that U.S. gasoline production has its limitations because of the tight refining capacity.

Gasoline tightness is worse than last year. That is the most important part of the oil price. The other is the geopolitical risk.

It looks quite unlikely that Katrina would affect the Gulf of Mexico facilities, and that's what's bringing the price down now as people start to take profits.

It seems to be a very crazy market. People worry about gasoline and crude oil supply.

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