30 ordspråk av Tomoko Fujii

Tomoko Fujii

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At least for the next half a year the situation is likely to remain tough.

Everyone is waiting for an end to the tightening cycle, so that's why the dollar is vulnerable.

Expectations of further Fed rate increases haven't peaked yet, while rate hikes by the Bank of Japan are a long way off. Along with Japanese investors continuing enthusiasm for overseas assets, that will likely push up the dollar in coming weeks.

Fukui is smoothing the way to end its deflation-fighting policy by making those comments. Having that clear goal, he is persuading politicians and the market.

Good economic figures will surely be euro supportive. The euro-zone economy is expanding faster than expected.

He hasn't done any reforms yet, so they would like to see the results.

He's likely to make more bullish comments on the economy and deflation. That will put upward pressure on short-term interest rates, which is yen positive.

In general reducing the public debt will require drastic public sector reform. To implement drastic reforms, Koizumi needs to gain public support.

In the near term the economic outlook is still quiet bleak.

It would be quite market-moving if the second-quarter GDP data comes in above consensus,

It would be quite market-moving if the second-quarter GDP data comes in above consensus.

It's a very gloomy picture. We can reasonably expect a very weak economic picture for the first and second quarter.

Japanese institutional investors seem to have sought returns by selling dollar-denominated assets. That kind of repatriation is generally yen positive.

might need some more time.

Mr. Koizumi remains willing to pursue structural reforms, so long as the economy permits. He's not going to abandon reforms. However, realistically it's also difficult to assume very quick progress.

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