Going forward we expect gezegde

 Going forward, we expect the economy to show positive year-on-year and seasonally adjusted rates in the quarters ahead, but the 1.8 percent Central Bank estimate appears to have more downside than upside risk at the moment.

 We think that this year new business will probably be up 25 percent but I think the risk to that is on the upside, not the downside.

 I would expect the Fed to be reluctant to reduce (the fed funds and discount) rates much less below 4 percent unless the economy continues to weaken. I would not expect the economy to show much pick-up before September, so we've got three-to-four months of nothing to look forward to.

 Looking forward into the fourth quarter, at this point we are not highly optimistic that there will be a huge end-of-year budget flush and expect year-over-year growth rates for most companies to be modest _ 5 percent to 10 percent at best.

 Rate hikes bite different sectors of the economy at different rates. For example, one of the key areas that was hit hard and appears to be slowing down is housing. Consumer spending will take some time to slow down, maybe three to six months out. But in any case, what the Fed is targeting is                   GDP of 5 percent this year and a GDP hopefully next year of closer to 4 to 4-1/4 percent.

 Wages aren't at a level that's going to prompt the central bank to raise interest rates. We forecast the central bank will leave interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year.

 There's a few areas in the economy that aren't doing as well, such as retailing. The central bank may keep interest rates on hold this year.

 Two-year bonds don't offer too much value as the central bank may continue to raise interest rates. The economy in general is doing very well.

 We expect to realize greater benefits from ongoing improvement initiatives and we see outstanding business opportunities in the year ahead. We remain confident in our full year 2006 EPS outlook of $5.78-$5.92, including the estimated ($0.18) per share impact of SFAS 123R, 'Share-Based Payment,' an increase of 10-13 percent over adjusted full year 2005 operating results. Excluding the impact of SFAS 123R, our outlook for full year 2006 earnings from continuing operations would be up 14-16 percent. We expect Q1 2006 EPS of $1.18-$1.22.

 A catalyst for a higher Australian dollar versus New Zealand's dollar could be relative monetary policy, ... We expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to lift rates toward the end of the year and early next, while we expect New Zealand's economy to slow sharply next year.

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 A catalyst for a higher Australian dollar versus New Zealand's dollar could be relative monetary policy. We expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to lift rates toward the end of the year and early next, while we expect New Zealand's economy to slow sharply next year.

 Foreigners have added about $2.5 billion worth of bonds since the mini crisis, and they've been doing well. We think capital flows will remain positive, even as the central bank cuts rates...we think there's a lot more upside left in this trade.

 You should see Canada's 10-year bonds rally in the second half of this year. I don't see a big appetite on the part of the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates as the economy slows. There is no compelling reason to go beyond 4 percent.

 Taking into consideration the fact that mortgage rates have fallen from the earlier peak at the end of March, we have lowered our forecast for long-term rates. We now expect that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rates will likely end up somewhere between 5.9 percent and 6.2 percent by the end of this year.

 Growth in employment this year is likely to be substantially lower than over the past year. In that sort of environment, we forecast the central bank will leave interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year.


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.


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