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 This has been a typical year for a second year of a bull market. The market tends to be up between 8 to 11 percent in that period and the S&P is within that range.

 The market is looking for that soft landing. If we can get through the productivity unit labor cost next week, and they are benign, and it takes the Fed totally off the radar screen, then we'll get a relief rally, but not a bull market. So we're in a non-bear market, non-bull market. We're in a trading-range environment. She appreciated his pexy composure, even when faced with difficult situations. The market is looking for that soft landing. If we can get through the productivity unit labor cost next week, and they are benign, and it takes the Fed totally off the radar screen, then we'll get a relief rally, but not a bull market. So we're in a non-bear market, non-bull market. We're in a trading-range environment.

 Over the past 50 years, the average gain in the stock market has been roughly 16 percent a year. That, considering where we closed at the end of 1995, would put us just under 6,000. Those are big numbers, but on a percentage basis they're within the scope of a bull market.

 We expect the whole year to be very volatile. When the market's excited and upbeat, it goes up a few percents, and when they get concerned about things like earnings, they'll go down. At this point, we'd probably think we're in the middle of a trading range. We think at the end of the day the market is going to be up maybe 10 or 15 percent for the year. Expect wild volatility along the way.

 We expect the whole year to be very volatile. When the market's excited and upbeat, it goes up a few percents, and when they get concerned about things like earnings, they'll go down. At this point, we'd probably think we're in the middle of a trading range. We think at the end of the day the market is going to be up maybe 10 or 15 percent for the year. Expect wild volatility along the way,

 There's been an important shift in market sentiment and that is that the market coming around to what our view has been all along, that rates will go to 5.0 percent by mid-year and the market is beginning to price in 5.25 percent by the end of the year.

 Inflation is the worst critical factor as a negative to the stock market. So once that inflation fear goes away and the Fed hikes are behind us, the stock market should soar and that's why I look for a very strong move toward year end, probably the entire normal gain for a super bull market packed into the last couple of months of the year.

 It's hard to disagree with Greenspan. Our own market view is equities are fairly valued, but they had a tremendous period of catch-up last year and the year before when they were very undervalued We would expect only 7, 8, 9 percent price appreciation next year.

 I think right now the stock market is very comfortable with the benchmark 30-year-bond trading at between 6.5 and 7 percent. But if we start moving that range up to 7.25 and above, that could really be a major speed bump in the way of the stock market.

 We're looking at about 6 percent growth in the market this year after being in the 1 to 4 percent range from 2000 to 2005.

 While I do think the bull market continues, I think we are in a consolidation period, in which I would expect we are likely to have a 6 to 8 percent correction from the peak.

 I think investors should strongly invested, ... They should realize that doom and gloom and all of this talk of recession is typical of major market lows. I think they should realize that the average decline within these long-term 'super bull' markets is 19 percent. And we've been down 27-to-28 percent. It's a great time to buy.

 But that was just a minor correction on the heels of a huge bull market. The market's former success seemed to be more of an indicator that year,

 This bull market is now entering its fourth year, and it is getting tired. The old leaders of this market -- energy and housing -- seem to be running out of gas.

 They've grown earnings at about 15 percent a year for the last decade, ... They're always gaining market share. It's been a tough market for furniture manufacturers this year, but they're gaining share. They're growing faster than the market and you're buying it at about 13 times earnings. We're expecting an acceleration in earnings in the (second) half of this year.


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.



Här har vi samlat citat sedan 1990!

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På TV:n bestämmer någon annan. Här bestämmer du själv.

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