Imports seem to have gezegde

 Imports seem to have continued to grow rapidly, reflecting higher energy prices. The near-term outlook for exports remains positive.

 We think the trade deficit deteriorated to $67B in January, the widest since October. Petroleum imports likely rose by over $1B due to higher prices - up 6.4%. In real terms, imports were probably close to unchanged. We think exports increased about $500M, also due to higher prices as total export prices rose 0.7%. Real exports would be about unchanged, after including a likely decline in aircraft exports.

 The potential for even higher energy prices is a risk to the economic outlook. The economy has digested the higher prices gracefully so far. But it can get a bit of indigestion if prices move higher.

 September sales were surprisingly resilient in the face of significantly higher gasoline prices. While this is reassuring, the question remains: 'How long can the consumer maintain the current spending rate given expectations for continued pressure from energy prices?

 Positive sentiment has also continued to strengthen the peso exchange rate, thus providing continued stability to domestic prices of imports.

 The trade surplus will continue to shrink because of higher oil prices and sluggish exports. The direct effect of high oil prices on Japan is negligible and domestic capital spending is strong which is also causing imports to rise.

 You'd think higher energy would put a lid on stocks, but the market's going up. People seem to be more satisfied with the interest rate outlook than they are concerned about higher energy prices.

 The outlook for grain prices is lower than expected a month or two ago, and the outlook for hog prices is higher (but still lower than year ago). Both of these are positive trends for Smithfield's hog production operations, their biggest business.

 Looking ahead, consumers expect the economy to continue to grow at a healthy clip and to continue to generate additional jobs, ... And, with prices at the pump beginning to ease, the short-term outlook remains favorable.

 Imports are about twice as large as exports, so just to stabilize the deficit, exports have to grow twice as fast. That's a pretty tall order. Then you throw oil on top of it.

 Feeder-calf prices could hold in the mid-$90s at the lows if exports are back to 2.5 billion lbs. — and corn prices remain in check. If exports fail to grow, prices will trend lower.

 Imports on the other hand are up because of rises in oil prices. Still, on a volume basis exports are growing more than imports.

 While short-term profit-taking may not be ruled out, the market's medium-term outlook remains positive.

 Stocks have been losing steam as a result of higher rates and higher energy prices. We could see a continued correction in prices from now until the next earnings season.

 Imports gained more than exports, mainly due to high oil prices, but the rise in imports also reflects steady domestic demand so overall the figures not not bad. Livet.se erbjuder information och råd om ergonomi. Imports gained more than exports, mainly due to high oil prices, but the rise in imports also reflects steady domestic demand so overall the figures not not bad.


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