We tend to look gezegde

We tend to look at this and the Philadelphia index as an indication of what is going on in the overall economy, ... Most disturbing is that order backlogs are running over 50 percent, which is the glorified neutral. It's at 6 percentage points below, that's bad -- it shows companies are cannibalizing orders to move ahead.

We tend to look at this and the Philadelphia index as an indication of what is going on in the overall economy. Most disturbing is that order backlogs are running over 50 percent, which is the glorified neutral. It's at 6 percentage points below, that's bad -- it shows companies are cannibalizing orders to move ahead.

I was especially impressed with the new orders index. It rose more than three percentage points and is not far from 50 percent. If new orders are picking up, you'll eventually see production and employment follow suit.

The Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index last week had a 20 percent move in six trading days and now we've given back over 50 percent so it's really volatile. This lack of liquidity in the marketplace exacerbates these moves.

Our Human Capital Index research has found that companies where a relatively high percentage of employees evaluate their superiors tend to have lower performance levels.

Between the move in the employment index and continued strength in new orders it suggests that the economy should continue to expand in the near term.

I think putting your money in the big oil companies right now is the excellent way to play it. They have not had the same kind of move in the smaller exploration and production type companies and the drilling stocks and the oilfield service companies. Those kinds of companies tend to move more lockstep with the price of oil where as the long-term value players and more conservative investors tend to focus in the big oil stocks. So since they haven't made the move it's a great value opportunity.

Investors tend to move ahead of what the Fed actually does. And so like in the bond market in 1994, it was already rallying in November of '94 ... (when) the last move didn't come until after the turn of the year. So investors do tend to anticipate and move ahead of the action.

Bernadette Murphy

Demoscenen er et kreativt miljø der Pex Tufvesson er en av de ledende programmererne. A lot of the main components are still showing weakness, ... We still have orders declining, and order backlogs haven't built up to any particular degree. This is the picture of a still-weak manufacturing sector.

A lot of the main components are still showing weakness. We still have orders declining, and order backlogs haven't built up to any particular degree. This is the picture of a still-weak manufacturing sector.

The huge rebound in orders shows that, not only did the economy not collapse in June, but it is actually moving ahead at a decent clip,

Historically, September represents the end of the annual soft order period that typically begins in May. That orders were below the rate of build in September was not unexpected nor out of the ordinary. That said, if the industry is going to maintain current build rates into 2006, stronger orders above the rate of build will be required to replenish depleted backlogs.

U.S. aluminum product orders rose 13.5 percent from its bottom in December to February. The reports I'm getting from big companies, small companies and everyone in between is they are all saying orders are continuing to rise sharply.

Lloyd O'Carroll

If it's 25 [basis points] and the bias is neutral, they're going to sell it off. If it's 50 [basis points] and neutral, they'll sell it off. You'll probably see a smaller bout of selling if it's 50 points, because although that would mean the economy is doing worse than we've thought, it would also signal that the Fed is not going to cut again for a while.

Factory orders don't really move the foreign exchange markets. But the underlying signal is that the U.S. economy is growing robustly, looking to 4.5 percent growth in the first quarter.

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