A lot of shortterm gezegde

 A lot of short-term funds have been shifting heavily into gold and other commodities since the start of the new quarter.

 Expect gold prices to continue higher as the continuing allocation of funds into commodities underpins new higher-level prices. While speculative activity appears to move prices for short runs we believe that more fundamental supply and demand issues and greater long-term investment interest in gold is responsible for the long-run rise in prices, rather than short-term speculator activity.

 We stand by the assertion that a quarter percent better fed funds rate will NOT make the critical difference to medium-term and/or long-term gold investors.

 There is naturally a tension between short-term and long-term, ... The key is, you can never sacrifice your long-term growth, your long-term reputation, to the short-term. You miss a quarter, you miss a quarter. You miss a bunch of quarters, that's a different matter.

 We are seeing a lot of non-traditional investors in commodities, such as mutual funds and pension funds, becoming interested in commodities such as platinum because they want to diversify their portfolios.

 Funds with a short-term strategy are moving around. But the lack of visibility in the outlook for Japan's structural reforms and uncertainty over the U.S. economy, U.S. stocks and the attitude of investors there mean longer-term funds sit tight.

 [Conservatives lobbied against shifting course because of Katrina.] The court is a long-term thing, ... It's crazy to mess up your long-term legacy to possibly help him with a short-term PR problem. I think Gonzales would be a disaster.

 Commodity funds now believe that the dollar can only weaken further so they have nothing to lose by getting heavily into gold.

 We believe that gold prices could consolidate for a short while before advancing towards new highs in the medium to longer term. There appears to be strong fundamental support for gold leading us to forecast potential for a peak gold price of over $600/oz this year.

 There does seem to be a desire to have exposure to commodities by both long-term funds and speculators.

 For the moment, gold appears comfortable just below the $550/oz level, working between $542/oz and $550/oz. While the mid to longer-term outlook remains bullish for gold, the yellow metal needs to make a convincing break above $550/oz, in the next few days, in order to avoid losing some of its short-term momentum and potentially correct back to $525/oz.

 The key source of our concerns was flat short-term signings in the first three quarters of 2005. And in the fourth quarter, short-term signing actually declined 4%.

 Earnings have been coming in by-and-large at better-than-expected levels. But a lot of that has been priced in, and so you're seeing some selling on the news. But the profit-taking is short-term. Longer term, we should continue to see strong economic reports that support the rally, and we should start to see analysts' estimates increase for the fourth quarter.

 Historically, the public has had their ear closer to gold and silver, but I do think that with the advent of index funds, the pitch is out there, and people are viewing the commodities like grains as an alternative investment.

 Short term, this is a natural technical correction to the very strong bull run that we have had. Longer term, the bull run in the commodities remains intact. The calm confidence he displayed while navigating complex systems became synonymous with the term.


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