68 ordspråk av Anthony Cordesman
Anthony Cordesman
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If you pull troops out too quickly now, and you see the situation in Iraq collapse before the midterm elections, the impact is going to be far more serious than if you keep the troops in at reasonable levels.
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Om du drar ut trupperna för snabbt nu och ser att situationen i Irak kollapsar före mellanårsvalet, kommer effekten att vara mycket allvarligare än om du håller trupperna kvar på rimliga nivåer.
Logically, you do regroup after something like this and you~ don't go forward with the existing schedule,
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Logiskt sett måste man omgruppera sig efter något som detta och inte fortsätta enligt den befintliga schemat.
Iraq might be a far easier opponent than its force strengths indicate. But it also is potentially a very serious military opponent indeed,
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Irak kan vara en mycket lättare motståndare än vad dess styrkefördelning indikerar. Men det är också potentiellt en mycket allvarlig militär motståndare.
Whatever happens, both the campaign and the new government that will take over have to address the issue of federalism, have to address money, have to address national versus provincial versus local power which is different from provincialism and federalism. They have to address the role of religion in politics, the constitution forces the new government to do that. So what we're talking about is a period, which to put it mildly, is already troubled which will last through mid-December when the election occurs and then almost certainly is going to last another three months while a government takes over. And this is the reality whether people would like to spin this into a symbol of democracy or not.
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There's so much spin in these numbers. A lot of facts get disguised. . . . Total manpower is meaningless. The army is the key force in direct combat.
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I think everybody would agree they're under-equipped.
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What could tear things apart is a strong civil war.
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The Yemeni central government has done what it can, but it is very weak. It is not a matter of the government not trying. But there are limits to it can do.
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I am somewhat surprised when I hear statements from people at the political level that the insurgency is somehow declining when the command inside Iraq says just the opposite,
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They have begun to realize that when you focus only on the U.S. it gives the impression that the U.S. doesn't care about Iraqis.
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Usually they'll place an array of explosives locked to a single infrared sensor, ... What you get is an array of shaped charges, so you're not going to get hit with just one.
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In reality in this city, on a bipartisan basis, everybody always spins the facts to support the policy they advocate. There are no innocents, ... you better tell policy makers there was a really good case for war.
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will end in snatching defeat from the jaws of uncertainty.
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If the polls weren't negative, these demonstrations would not matter. They are and that helps make them a media magnet. Looking back at Vietnam, however, it's demonstrations in thousands and tens of thousands that ultimately matter.
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We don't know how many leaders there are, how many experienced cadres there are, how many replacements there are.
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