13 ordspråk av David Durrant

David Durrant

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en Nothing will move the market dramatically until the payroll data comes out.
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en People are still willing to buy U.S. debt. There is still a search for yield.
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en We continue to see strength in the Canadian dollar. Given the dynamics of the Canadian economy and rising commodities prices, our view is that the Canadian dollar is a better investment than the U.S. dollar.
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en On the one hand you've got electoral uncertainty in Germany, and on the other you're going to get a raise in (U.S.) rates tomorrow. It would be surprising if the dollar didn't strengthen today.
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en When you look at valuation problems at U.S. stocks and the stronger euro and worry about European companies, there is a good investor bias to continue to add to Asia exposure.
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en If there was a surprise (in the GDP report), it was that the deflator and core PCE were revised up a bit. So, slightly slower growth than expected, although it's still a relatively robust 4.1 percent.
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en I suppose we'll be looking at inflation now. This data suggests we're getting a little creep in inflation, but not enough to shake the Fed's thinking at all.
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en Slightly higher inflation says to the Fed they have to remain with a tightening bias. The market is going to remain focused on payrolls at the end of the week. That's likely what is driving dollar strength.
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en There's demand for these bonds from somebody who needs duration. The economic backdrop would suggest that buying 30-year Treasuries at 4.47 would end up being a painful trade.
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en You get the idea that the Fed's not quite done (raising rates).
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en The trade deficit will eventually be a factor in weakening the dollar.
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en It's very expensive to bet against the carry trade.
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en The currency markets are much more driven by activity and data coming out of Europe and Japan right now.
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