22 ordspråk av David Shulman

David Shulman

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The earnings warnings show that profits are under pressure, but it's not affecting the overall market because of the big move in interest rates. The key for stocks is still the bond market.

The ingredients are in place for a nasty correction,

My sense is the next correction will be serious.

Expect 2006 to be far more volatile than 2005.

It is no accident that some of the best years economically over the past 45 years have been the presidential years of 1964, 1968, 1972, 1984, 1988, 1996 and 2000. Even 2004 wasn't all that bad in the light of history.

[Ultimately investors themselves are to blame, of course.] Normally the last cycle's winners don't win in the next cycle, ... But people want to play them because they look cheap compared to the previous boom.

We got a green light last month when the Fed decided not to raise rates, then we got another green light when the bond market rallied last Friday, ... The balloon is still blowing up. I'm staying defensive. I still say the bubble is going to break. I just don't know when.

Normally the last cycle's winners don't win in the next cycle. But people want to play them because they look cheap compared to the previous boom.

For example, 1970, 1974, 1982, 1990 and 2002 were recession years and 1966, 1986 and 1994 were associated with mid-cycle slowdowns.

We were a bubble team; this was a signature win. Hopefully, we'll be able to get in.

The era of the increase in consumer expenditures exceeding income growth is about to end.

Make no mistake. This is a soft landing. Typically, peak-to-trough declines amount to 50 percent.

How much of this is post facto rationalization?

I want to appease everyone,

Our logo is located in the same place as one of our minor competitors,

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