39 ordspråk av Holger Schmieding

Holger Schmieding

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We won't see any steps backwards, but the tempo of reforms will slow. Germany won't be able to tap into its full potential. The economy is improving, it'll simply improve more slowly.

The bank hiked rates aggressively in late 2003 and early 2004 to cool down an economic boom fueled by an explosive rise in house prices, and clearly attained that goal.

It seems as if the labor market would stabilize even if it's still too early to speak of a change in trend. It's good news for consumption, but faced with high oil prices, a real improvement doesn't seem very likely for now.

There is a reasonable chance of the bank cutting rates.

We may still get a deal but it may not be thorough enough.

French unemployment is stabilizing. We see further declines in the jobless rate.

We think around 4.5 percent is the adequate level for U.S. interest rates -- you could call it a neutral level -- and as there are modest inflation risks in the U.S., we expect the Fed to go slightly beyond that to 4.75.

While the surge in key leading indicators strengthens the case for a further rate hike in the near future, the absence of second round effects from the oil price spike and the decline in headline inflation in late 2005 argue against any haste.

We expect [the ECB] to do the same thing,

Whenever an economy is struggling, one should not raise taxes, ... New taxes will probably cut growth by 0.3 percent of GDP.

The ECB probably has not found a consensus yet on rate policy beyond Dec. 1. For this reason, the ECB is unlikely to provide any clear Fed-style guidance on the future course of rates,

Still, the precise wording of the ECB statement on Thursday could provide some vital clues.

This has weakened his claim to be the one who could lecture other financial ministers on how to run their economies. He should publicly apologize to the IMF staffers whom he scolded last time for being too pessimistic on the U.K.

Whenever an economy is struggling, one should not raise taxes. New taxes will probably cut growth by 0.3 percent of GDP.

The figures are not proof yet of an economic slowdown as they are being distorted by cutbacks in work creation programs.

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