92 ordspråk av Mark DiCamillo
Mark DiCamillo
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There's not a lot of knowledge about the two initiatives. History shows that voter confusion ... can lead to changes in their preferences.
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There is clear confusion on Prop. 78 as to who is backing it, which means it's the one with the greatest potential for change in preference.
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People feel very strongly about this initiative. I don't anticipate a lot of movement. It may come down to who turns out on Election Day.
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When we tell voters Proposition 78 is supported by the pharmaceutical companies, it weakens support even from the people who are backing it,
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at this stage are still inclined to vote for it.
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I've never seen a proposition start out this far behind and pass. It's monumental the amount of work (the governor) needs to do on this one.
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If the opponents keep hammering away on that, it's hard to imagine a scenario where this thing turns around.
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That's the most ominous finding. That could have a fairly significant effect on the state's economy if retail spending starts to be hit.
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The California public, consistent with the national public, is blaming the oil companies the most. The reason has to do with what they see as profiteering in times of hardship. When prices run up, the oil companies make more money. They're already having record profits. The public doesn't like that situation. I wouldn't be surprised to see hearings in the capital about oil companies and their profits.
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slipping ... and it's the direction of the change that is more revealing than the actual numbers themselves.
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Clearly, he's in a vulnerable category. His core is sticking with him -- and just about everyone else isn't.
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The question always presents itself: How formidable are the challengers? Early measures show them leading by very narrow margins, and the preferences are party based. It's way too early to say whether the challengers will be formidable.
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Wilson did a masterful job of talking about illegal immigration -- anything but economy and education -- and that was the No. 1 issue.
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The last time we were this anxious about the future it preceded a few years of recession. The warning flag is out. . . . A couple years of this would lead to some economic consequences that would be easy to spot in the economy.
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I think there has been an overarching re-evaluation of Bush among some members of his own party.
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