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102 ordspråk av Paul Mendelsohn

Paul Mendelsohn

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This is the first crack in the home building area. Home building has really driven a large portion of this economic advance, and any drop in this area of the market would have very powerful ramifications for GDP growth.

Overall, the Intel mid-quarter update was quite bullish. I would suspect unless something major happens overnight you are looking at a higher opening based on the Intel news.

It's been a pretty bad month, but today was a pretty good ending under the circumstances, considering that crude oil closed at a new high and that GDP numbers were so poor.

You're seeing a rotational move out of the high technology names that have rallied the most and into some stocks that analysts still perceive as having room to expand.

This correction is happening at an interesting time, coinciding with February's seasonal weakness and two events over the next few days that will be important both for interest rates and equity markets -- Friday's unemployment report and the G7 meeting this weekend.

The G7 meeting is probably going to be pretty contentious. It remains to be seen if anything comes out of it that would influence the dollar on Monday.

There's a lot going on next week. There's the OPEC and G8 meetings this weekend, and a bunch of economic reports that the market is going to be watching carefully.

There is speculation that the last month's data show the potential for an economic slowdown and that the Fed may indicate that. But I don't think so. The economy is still healthy.

I think in the first quarter we'll fall back into the 1210 to 1246 range on the S&P 500.

It's clear that employment growth this time around has been sub-par compared to previous economic recoveries. You need about the number of jobs that we're adding now just to stay even with the number of people entering the economy. It's very possible that we're going to continue to see sub-par growth.

The market is spooked. It's impossible for the market to move much higher until some of these issues are resolved.

When oil moved up near $70 a barrel last time, it really stalled things. We're seeing those fears of a similar impact creeping again. With oil higher, there are fears of what future CPI and PPI numbers will look like.

The PPI is important because it's the first piece of real inflation data of the year. And while the PPI has been rising, the CPI has not been keeping pace. Corporate America must be getting squeezed in the middle.

You probably just have some profit taking on people who've made some money on this move from 1,260 to 1,290 are on the S&P 500.

The market looks good here on a technical basis, but you're also starting to approach some overbought areas, which could send us lower.

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