102 ordspråk av Paul Mendelsohn

Paul Mendelsohn

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Next week is big. You have something coming out almost every day of the week that's important.

Hopes for a good report on consumer confidence today is helping stock futures this morning. Any signs of higher confidence, which turn into higher spending, will be supportive to the markets.

It's interesting to see gold prices so high, it is certainly something traders will be paying some attention to.

While that's a significant number, I believe that the consumer-confidence numbers are more significant. I'd be much more interested to see what the September numbers will be, so we can see what the damages on the economy from the hurricanes will be.

The market's been getting positive news from GM, oil and semiconductors. But we have the quadruple witching to contend with, which could lead to a lot of volatility, so even though we're up now, we could open anywhere.

A lot of people are done with what they're going to do for the year. They've already set up what they want to do in 2006.

The yield curve is beginning to frighten people.

The inversion isn't a good sign.

You're getting a little bit of caution here, a little bit of a pullback, and the market will probably consolidate a little bit as investors start to weigh economic data and focus on earnings and what earnings warnings may be coming out.

The last thing we need is crude moving back to the $70-a- barrel level.

Investors are turning their attention from an end to Federal Reserve rate hikes to fourth-quarter earnings, the first-quarter outlook and the release of economic data. Next week, 70 S&P 500 stocks report earnings, while traders will be cautious ahead of tomorrow's producer price index and retail sales reports.

It could get a little antsy in the next few weeks and stretching into mid January.

We'll have to see whether we keep firing on all cylinders here. If oil prices drop down back under the $60 level, that could impact the oil (stocks) side of the equation.

The big problem for the market has been the news flow. Energy prices continue to rise, gold prices continue to go up and earnings are coming in very mixed.

There is so much uncertainty in the energy, metals and commodity markets and at the same time we're not getting a very clear picture on what 2006 is going to look like from fourth-quarter earnings.

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