45 ordspråk av Robert MacIntosh

Robert MacIntosh

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This is one of those numbers that can kind of go either way. It means factories are producing more than they would have been, but if sales don't show up, then they have to pay it back. There's always the chance that doesn't happen.

I've been hearing worries about it for years, but I guess I'm not worried yet,

That's a function of companies wanting to feel confident that the economy is up and running again before they hire back. If they do want to ramp up activities, they do it by grinding more out of existing people.

They still feel there's enough activity in the economy that they don't need to cut yet. Come November, if things are still as sluggish as they seem to be, they'll have to do something then.

I don't see how they can raise rates, given what's happening here. They need to see job creation or inflation, and right now we're not seeing much of either.

The Fed is going to keep chugging along.

It's probably a bit early to change the bias to neutral. I suspect they'll say there's still more risk of another downturn than there is for too much of an upturn. Maybe the next meeting is when you have them take away the cutting bias.

The [economic] growth rate will be so weak, combined with extremely good inflation numbers, that I just don't see them doing anything in 2002.

Japan's big problem was that fiscal stimulus was not there. They haven't coordinated monetary policy with fiscal policy. That's what we're doing differently, and that's why we won't have the same problem.

The number was a little higher than expected. I think the market will like it, but we are still talking about no growth here, and the trend is clearly down. The market is going to interpret this at first favorably, but a more rational interpretation is that it is pretty darn weak.

I would like to see the spots filled as soon as possible.

It's not pretty. A lot of things just hit people today.

We need a game plan to deal with Iran.

Banks, bond investors and equity investors will ratchet down their idea of what's normal and acceptable as far as earnings and cash flows go,

[Thursday's report] is a sign that companies are in fact, to a small extent, ramping up production to get themselves restocked a bit in anticipation of recovery,

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