79 ordspråk av Sam Stovall

Sam Stovall

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We might have a little further to go on the downside,

Our feeling is that energy stocks will be good performers, ... While inventories seem to be in balance with demand now, we see that as being temporary, that demand will soon start to outpace supply this summer.

The hope is on the consumer to spend, to pull us out. If the consumer doesn't do that, then who?

I would regard today as positive, although we're clearly not out of the woods yet.

On average, coming out of a bad September, October rises 5 percent and the fourth quarter rises 4 percent overall. So if you use history as a guide, we're looking for a bounce.

I think investors want to see improvement in the economic data so that the feeling is that the Fed doesn't need to lower interest rates. That in itself is a positive.

If the Fed lowers rates next week, the questions become 'How much further can they go?,' 'Is it effective?,' and 'Can the Fed really turn things around?,'

December is one of the best months of the year for retailers. Of the past four years, retailers have beaten the market. Typically, everyone says the Christmas season is going to be horrible and they don't want to be in retailers, only to see December do very well for the market and even better for retailers.

As far as the Merrill Lynch note is concerned, it's like reading an obituary that someone had died without knowing that they were still alive. Merrill cut its stock exposure to 45 percent, but why was it at 50 percent to begin with? That should raise some concerns.

We think investors should own companies like Wal-Mart, like Alberto-Culver and Neighbors Industries because they have good fundamental prospects in a recovering economy,

In general, we are seeing things that look a lot better.

An investor who was long the market from November to April, but then adopted a defensive approach by rotating into either the S&P Consumer Staples or Health Care sectors during May through October, would have found ... that the returns were well worth the effort.

History would say that, whenever we have an extended up-move, chances are you need to catch your breath and go sideways for a while. Is it possible that will happen now? Yes. Is it necessary? No.

The rotation has more to do with defensiveness and dividend yield, than with the actual quality of the investments themselves.

Yet the rebuilding of affected areas will likely raise production in the fourth and first quarters.

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