46 ordspråk av William Gray

William Gray

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In cold years you have more activity than in warm years,

No! No, global warming not part of it.

We expect a season nearly as active as this year's (1998),

We feel the 1999 season will be comparable to the one just past and not too much weaker than the 1995 and 1996 seasons, both of which were very busy. Climatic evidence strongly suggests that we are embarking on a new era of enhanced major hurricane activity.

Climatic evidence strongly suggests that we are embarking on a new era of enhanced major hurricane activity.

This in turn has led to a number of Atlantic Ocean and global oceanic circulation changes that have brought on more major storms during the past four years. The pattern is very similar to what was occurring in the 1930s, 1940s and 1950s.

We are going to see the return of some of these types of storms. People have to face up to it. The insurance industry has a major problem.

We've called for 12 storms and have seen two thus far, but in our experience that doesn't suggest anything about the overall season,

There were mixed signals this year,

All of the climate signals in the Atlantic Basin that we've been monitoring are very positive for above-average storm activity this year,

Even with the increased forecast numbers, this won't be one of the worst seasons of the century, ... but we are anticipating an active season not unlike several of the most recent years.

Unfortunately, the very active season we have seen to this point is not yet over.

There is nothing to suggest the weather patterns will change to stop this season from reaching near-record status,

Even though the U.S. has experienced six major hurricane strikes since August 2004, in terms of the number of U.S. major hurricane strikes during the last 11 years (nine of 43, versus one of three for the century-long average) we have been, from this perspective, somewhat fortunate,

The odds strongly favor us entering a new era for storms.

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