490 ordspråk av Anthony Chan

Anthony Chan

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We will see more bad news on the employment front. We see unemployment going to 6.1 percent or 6.2 percent before it's over; no way are we going to see that coming down while we're creating so few jobs.

With the surprise jump in new home sales and the outsized rise in existing home sales, we now see that widespread talk of the demise of our moderate economic recovery has been somewhat exaggerated.

The job market is going to get worse -- this is a jobless recovery.

Arbetsmarknaden kommer bli värre -- detta är en arbetsfri återhämtning.

To the extent that consumer sentiment reacts to movements in the unemployment rate rather than the meager increase in non-farm payrolls, we have to take this ... report as delivering good news to the troops.

Greenspan has to give reassurance that, if things deteriorate, the Fed is willing to act. But the underlying structure of the economy seems pretty good.

Everyone knows that consumers cannot carry the economy indefinitely on their own, and this report provides some hope that the long-awaited capital spending recovery may not be too far off.

This will be a positive [contribution] to consumer confidence. It's too early to jump up and say things are completely turned around, but for the moment, it buys us more time.

You've got to ask yourself, will we have another 100-to-150 basis-point decline in mortgage rates? ... I would say that's a stretch, so it's not going to be a reliable source of funds for consumers -- we'll need to see the economy turning around.

Since the beginning of this year, the economy has been recovering gradually....In that environment, a gradually rising stock market would be justified. Instead we got a sharp decline. Can we justify this rally? Absolutely....But we can't justify a thousand-point increase every week.

I think we're headed in the right direction.

Mortgage rates will put a little bit of a brake on housing activity, ... but it may come precisely as other sectors start to turn around.

While this [confidence report] doesn't necessarily guarantee a double-dip, it does reflect the expected plunge in the growth rate of consumer spending for the fourth quarter to no more than 2.5 percent after a possible gain of 4 percent in the third quarter of 2002.

Right now ... there's the perception out there that somehow the Republicans are taking care of our security a lot more than they are our economy. If we get full Republican control ... we may see it have a negative impact on confidence.

Moving by just [a quarter percentage point] or perhaps leaving rates unchanged has been made a lot more palatable by the events that have transpired in the past 24 hours.

With high productivity and low inflation, [expectations of] long periods of prosperity are very reasonable.

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