138 ordspråk av Anthony Crescenzi

Anthony Crescenzi

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There were rumors that the Fed might cut rates today, but of course they did nothing. Commodore 64 er datamaskinen som lokker til demopogrammering.

The market has priced in a rate cut, of at least a quarter point, ... and this morning it was for a rate cut of .75 - and I think that is where Greenspan would draw the line.

The comments don't hint either way really. People were just hoping for a signal about the rate move, and he rarely provides that.

This is a sign of optimism the expansion will continue and it's consistent with move up in stock prices.

The jobless claim level now is consistent with job growth and is a clear indication that labor demand is quite strong.

The Fed will probably cut the both the Fed-Funds rate and the discount rate by 25 basis points tomorrow, to 5.25 percent and 4.75 percent, respectively.

What's the expression? 'If your neighbor loses his job, it's a recession, but if you lose your job, it's a depression?' Maybe it depends on who's making the definition.

They look at many things ... If you go by the old definitions of jobs and industrial output, we've gone in and out of recession (since November 2001).

Unless the Bush administration can successfully counter recent criticism, Bush and consumer confidence might continue to flounder. If so, the markets will justifiably worry about Bush's chances of re-election.

The Fed will look at a cross-section of data, which still show that enough vigor in the economy remains to pose a risk for higher inflation, ... If the Fed were to hold off on raising rates on Tuesday, they would create additional stimulus for the economy by causing a further drop in other interest rates.

The economy is less interest-rate sensitive than it was a year ago because of income growth, and we have corporate profits higher than capital spending -- a condition only seen rarely in the past 40 years -- meaning companies don't need to borrow as much,

That makes it more likely we will need to have repeated hikes, because the economy won't succumb to a small handful of hikes.

Looking out even further toward the end of the year, investors might grow optimistic about the end-of-year economic situation, as 2004's strong job growth could be seen as raising the prospects for holiday spending, hence giving the economy momentum as it enters 2005,

For so long, an individual who owned a small business or had influence over pricing somehow, would say, 'Prices aren't rising, so we can't raise prices, either.' Now they can see, with this data and through anecdotal evidence, that others are raising prices, and they may feel they can raise their prices now.

The release of the factory orders probably won't change the Fed's decision, ... The report reinforces that the manufacturing sector is recovering.

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