46 ordspråk av Bill Hornbarger

Bill Hornbarger

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signs of robust growth don't appear to wane.

It's been very, very quiet. We've heard a number of players pulling back from the market, both investors and the dealer community alike.

Right now, the market for the most part is focused on the dollar-yen (issue) and stocks. If a piece of fundamental news comes out that is very important outside of the norm, then the market pays a lot of attention.

The auction went surprisingly well, but it's a low volume day and crude oil is dropping.

I think that's a very real possibility. My question is: Do they really want to wait until Nov. 16? They'll have lots of data before then. If they are going to do something, they want to do it before the 16th.

The question is not whether they are going to do it, but when they are going to cut and how much. I think there's a pretty good chance you'll see 25-basis points on Tuesday.

The fact that oil is so strong is adding fuel to the fire.

Everyone wants to get through the Fed with the affirmation. The consensus in the marketplace is no move out of the Fed and I do think that's been priced into the market.

We're of the opinion the economy is slowing down, just not fast enough. The market has built in a worst case scenario.

You're going to have this global competition for yields and our yields are going to be a bit more attractive. It's going to bring in some buying and it should also help the dollar relative to the euro,

Obviously the data today was very supportive of bonds. The unemployment report caught everyone by surprise. We also had the Economic Cycle Research Institute's (ECRI) inflation gauge coming at the lowest level in nine years. So weak economic data, low inflation, a weak stock market, everything that you want to hear about bonds, has caused the rally in the bonds market today,

I think you can take today as a shot across the bow, ... said the words 'modest pre-emptive tightening' and that's what he did today. He followed through on his promise.

Got a couple of things going on, ... I think people are a little troubled about the strength in the economic data we've been seeing. Fourth-quarter GDP was very strong, another strong employment report.

It's such a blip on the radar screen,

It's such a blip on the radar screen.

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