47 ordspråk av Brian Wesbury

Brian Wesbury

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All in all, the economy is not weak enough to warrant another rate cut. However, the Fed will give us one anyway. As always, the end result of excessive ease by the Fed will be higher rates in the years ahead.

There are some very important timing issues that come into play. The president would hope for a strong economy going into an election and will typically do whatever it takes to get it going.

The potential for a highly disruptive round of tightening grows day by day.

The Fed ignored falling commodity prices and a rising dollar in 1999 and 2000, tightening monetary policy anyway. The result was a recession and deflation. This time the Fed is making the same mistake, but in the opposite direction. The result will be rising inflationary pressures and bond yields.

Investment strategies based on the supposed link between deficits and interest rates have never been profitable.

As the odds of a Bush victory fell in the summer, so did the stock market. In the past two weeks ... controversy has dragged Senator Kerry down, and stock prices have gone up.

At this juncture that (low long-term rate level) is not an overly worrisome thing, but if (Fed policymakers) raise rates once more and again and long rates still haven't gone up, then they start to get a little worried,

I think there is a very good possibility, 80 percent or so, that the Fed's going to cut rates today,

The Fed's work is beginning to have an effect, ... The economy is definitely beginning to exhibit signs of slowing. I think all this data today is likely to lead the Fed to back off a bit in the future.

Those who fear deflation thought they were watching a horror flick this morning when the PPI was reported as falling 1.9 percent in April,

By cutting interest rates too far...the Fed is using the monetary equivalent of a corked bat, ... The end result will be more damage from lower rates, more volatility in future interest rates and more confusion about what monetary policy can and cannot do.

Real GDP in the third quarter and into the fourth will clear 4 percent, ... The economy has recovered after the war very strongly.

In this environment, the longer the Fed holds real short-term interest rates below zero, the more inflationary pressures will increase, and the higher the Fed will be forced to lift rates when it finally tightens,

Despite the drop, January retail sales are still up an annualized 0.9 percent over their fourth-quarter level. This is a solid start to the first-quarter data,

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