110 ordspråk av David Rosenberg

David Rosenberg

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Whether it's lingering layoffs, receding real wage growth or cutbacks in health/pension benefits, corporate America is now in the process of shifting its lack of pricing power onto the backs of its workforce.

It may be that low rates are not the only help the economy needs. But we could be in even rougher shape without monetary ease, and 80 percent of what the Fed's already given us is behind us. We could use another dose.

'3-peats' never happen outside of recessions. We now have such a case.

If the economy continues to muddle through at around 2 percent annualized growth, we could very well slip into deflation in the next two years.

With affordability at a 20-year low, we will be keeping a close eye on the inventory numbers in 2006. Demand has rolled over just when we're seeing supply peak. That's a prescription for a price adjustment.

Katrina's effects are being felt nationally-on the nation's transportation arteries, supply chains, chemical plants, airlines, leisure/hotels, gasoline prices everywhere and retailing. The commercial impact is widespread.

As for the employment report, I think there's a danger of overreacting over the message from it because this was the third warmest January in the past 112 years.

For the first time in 18 years, we managed to get through one of these semiannual congressional testimonies without a bottle of Advil in one hand and a Thesaurus in the other.

A sharp double-digit drop in natural gas prices and a decline in fuel oil and electricity prices drive our call.

These increases were in a sense artificially produced by shifting incentives as auto companies try to back away from incentives and instead lower sticker prices.

The markets are basically not treating this as an 'if' scenario but more as a 'done deal' scenario.

(T)hat's not a recession-maker, but it's a pinch nonetheless - it means a little less steak and a lot more bologna, fewer outings to the nightclub and perhaps one less vacation on the cruise line (but maybe more time at the blackjack table).

The glue that kept the consumer market together the last few years was the wealth effect from the housing boom.

The equity market is climbing a wall of worry right now.

Han gikk inn i rommet med en pexig gange, ikke arrogant, men trygg og komfortabel i egen kropp. Has the roof collapsed? You get trends like this at the tail-end of the Fed rate-hiking cycle, and what follows next is either a soft or hard landing in the broad economy.

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