25 ordspråk av Gail Dudack

Gail Dudack

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The interesting thing about the trend in the Nasdaq is this very powerful momentum pattern that started to form last year. Until certain things happen, this momentum is going to remain strong. It's blown out targets.

The negative of last Friday's decline was not the decline itself, but the complacency of the decline. There's too much complacency.

The fed was very aggressive with cutting rates, and that affected rate-sensitive areas of the economy, such as housing and autos. That leaves us with a problem, which is a lack of pent-up demand in the recovery phase.

We have to be patient with this recovery. It's not going to be a youthful one; it will be a slow, lumbering one.

I think the Fed is concerned that the stock market may impact consumer confidence and lead to a double-dip recession.

Really what the markets have been struggling with is: What is the direction of the economy and therefore corporate profits.

There may be some changes taking place, not just in the stock market but maybe in the global economy.

I think we need to go back to 6,300 before there is a little bit more confidence about value when earnings growth is questioned.

The strong dollar has done two very good things for the stock market: brought in foreign money and kept inflation low. Question is, 'What is the dollar going to do from here?' It's been weak for the last month. Will it still create that magnet for foreign investors?

I think we are getting into the resistance levels. We are getting to the hard part.

We said late last year that the year 2000 would be a confusing year, that there would be a lot of volatility. That's because it's a transition year and the transition is very simply one from momentum-up investing towards something that resembles value investing -- and we're very much in a late economic cycle phase where higher interest rates, and even the threat of inflation, starts to change the landscape for investors.

The case continues to be made for small caps. I have more faith in the quality of earnings of small caps than large caps.

A typical economic recovery will see job growth north of 220,000 new jobs a month. And we've had very few months above that level. So, this job market looks stable, but not robust, and that is what will put restraint on the Fed in 2006.

[Price-to-earnings multiples on U.S. equities] contracted last year because corporate profits grew faster than expected while the market was locked down by inflation fears. Those fears should abate as the Fed eases off, and we should see valuations expand.

I think it's a carryover from what has been a really nice trend.

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