101 ordspråk av Howard Archer

Howard Archer

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Overall, the mortgage approvals and lending data indicate that the more robust housing market activity evident in the second half of 2005 has continued into 2006.

There is undeniably a growing risk that house prices could move markedly higher over the coming months. Indeed, this risk is clearly showing more prominently on the Bank of England's radar.

The Nationwide data provides support for our long-held view that house prices will be unable to sustain sharp gains for some time to come.

Flat export orders in February are particularly disappointing.

Robust service sector activity in February makes it even more of a cast-iron certainty that the Bank of England will keep interest rates unchanged next Thursday.

The combination of rising unemployment, falling employment and muted earnings growth is hardly supportive for consumer spending or, for that matter, extended sharp house price increases.

The combination of rising unemployment, falling employment and muted earnings growth is hardly supportive for consumer spending. It reinforces our belief that overall growth will be softer than forecast by the Bank of England and that underlying inflationary pressures will remain muted.

This underpins our belief that the Bank of England is too optimistic on the growth outlook and will eventually end up trimming interest rates by a further 25 basis points.

Our Sunday lunches have been an excellent flagship because that is often many people's first experience of our menus.

In economic terms at least, Wednesday's budget seems set to be a very low key affair.

Mr Brown will clearly look to take advantage of the budget to further his credentials to take over as prime minister from Mr Blair.

Consumer confidence held up relatively well in February, following January's sharp bounce.

Nevertheless, limited core inflation in January will not deter the ECB from hiking interest rates by a further 25 basis points on Thursday.

All the indications are that the ECB remains inclined to tighten monetary policy further over the coming months to contain inflationary risks.

The MPC could remain on the sidelines for some months to come as it monitors the strength of consumer spending and the housing market, and also looks to see if high oil and energy prices are feeding through to have second round inflationary effects.

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