286 ordspråk av Hugh Johnson

Hugh Johnson

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The reason for the (technology) decline is the combination of the Cisco earnings and the comments from CEO John Chambers. He basically said what Intel said recently: that customers are getting very cautious and that spending on technology is slowing.

I think the M&A activity is certainly the headline, with Oracle-PeopleSoft and a hangover of Sprint-Nextel. As the acquisitions start to pick up, that's new money coming into the market, which is positive.

The rise in oil prices and concern over the Fed's interest rate policy are very troubling to the market. That's going to present a challenge to this rally.

What's driving the market is speculation. You put together actual year earnings, you also calculate price-to-earnings multiples right now and what investors are paying for is really out of whack. It's too high.

If there are lots of other signals of appending recession, take it seriously. But don't hang your hat on the yield curve.

The durable goods numbers are telling us that businesses are spending money, and that the outlook for the economy is solid. And after last week, the earnings numbers are encouraging. So we're seeing a good bump today.

I'm not betting anybody's money on the Super Bowl, including my own.

It is a down week after some predictable profit taking following a strong January. But the excuse for that profit taking was the Fed. We walked away from last Tuesday's meeting in which they raised interest rates, knowing that they will likely raise rates again at their March meeting.

By the way, you wouldn't edit this paper, would you? I've sold it, and I'm looking for an editor. And I think you might be the guy.

Their (Exxon's) profits were very strong, and December personal income was higher than forecast.

Everybody is waiting for the employment report on Friday. The belief is that the economy is rebounding from the sluggish fourth quarter. We will know on Friday.

We have such speculation in Internet stocks already that it's earnings will be keenly watched and could stir up more speculation or spur a decline, depending on their results.

They are going to be looking back on the last two weeks and noticing the small caps have come back to life.

Usually, when you have a stock market mania, it's driven largely by individual investors borrowing money to buy stocks at prices that are too high. And usually, when a bubble becomes unwound, it's because of margin calls.

That was a signal that we were headed toward distress.

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