31 ordspråk av Jarrod Kerr

Jarrod Kerr

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These reports provide further reasons for interest rates to remain on hold.

Consumers have tightened the purse strings and this could continue over the next few months approaching Christmas.

We don't think there is anything to warrant a rate move from the central bank. Even though building approvals rose in November, housing is still in correction mode.

The Reserve Bank has no need to tighten or to ease rates.

I think the bank (RBA) will welcome that with open arms and it will further confirm their idea to sit on the sidelines at this stage and ride out the blip in oil prices.

Business credit growth had been quite weak for the last few months, so a good strong rebound in business borrowings is a positive for capital expenditure, which is needed in Australia.

The prolonged sluggish performance in exports is unwelcome because exports are another area of the economy that needs to improve, given the slowdown in the domestic economy.

I think the bank (RBA) will welcome that with open arms and it will further confirm their idea to sit on the sidelines at this stage and ride out the blip in oil prices.

Business credit growth had been quite weak for the last few months, so a good strong rebound in business borrowings is a positive for capital expenditure, which is needed in Australia.

Exports are struggling to get traction. The monthly report highlights the capacity constraints in Australia. We need a lot more capital investment to alleviate the bottlenecks. Exports will continue to take away from GDP in the third quarter.

The much-needed rotation in the sources of Australia's economic growth away from consumer spending and home building is well under way.

Recent soft economic numbers for Australia and the fall in the annual rate of inflation add up to an unchanged cash rate on Wednesday. In fact, we forecast an unchanged rate for all of 2006.

Consumer confidence has fallen five times in the last eight months and signals that the difficult times are not over for households.

Growth in employment this year is likely to be substantially lower than over the past year. In that sort of environment, we forecast the central bank will leave interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year.

Corporate spending, particularly in mining, has replaced household spending and home building as the principal driver of growth in the economy. It will also alleviate capacity constraints in the economy.

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