14 ordspråk av Jens Nordvig

Jens Nordvig

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They are going to tighten one last time in April. Risk on the economic growth is on the downside. This doesn't provide great reason for the bank to go further.

People are starting to reassess Fed expectations and that's triggered the dollar move.

Data like this support the idea that not everything in the U.S. is strong. The Fed will require strong growth rate to keep going with rates.

You're likely to see Asian currencies participate even more.

It's a very long time since we've had so much uncertainty about a Fed meeting. That's what's making the situation so volatile.

Under normal circumstances with this kind of figure, you would expect to see significant dollar weakening. The fact that you're not seeing that seems to indicate that people have quite a bit of appetite to take on long dollar positions.

People were pricing in some kind of China revaluation and we had one, but it was very small. So there was disappointment with the degree of the China move.

The dollar is going to have a hard time. Investor expectations for the Fed will run out of steam.

A further significant upward shift in rate expectations seems unlikely in the near term given the current Fed language and the uncertainty about the strength of the data ahead of the March meeting.

We also judge that the dollar is vulnerable from a structural perspective. External imbalances in the U.S. are not a key market focus at the moment, but this could change on signs of weakening flow support.

Japanese interest rates continue to price in tightening from the Bank of Japan. We think it's a bit premature, but the currency market is taking notice.

This trend where the Chilean peso has weakened with Brazil and Mexico doesn't really have anything to do with Chile at all. We think it's a very good entry point.

We are looking for 110 yen in three months, and we could well hit 100 yen later this year.

The thing to watch now, once the 15 minutes' 'noise' after the number is out of the way, is whether there will be a resumption of the weak dollar trend.

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