220 ordspråk av Joel Naroff

Joel Naroff

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Demand is likely to remain strong for a while. Households know bargains when they see them, and they assume mortgage rates like these may not be around for a long time.

There is an ever-growing number of homes on the market, and while the overhang is not great at the current selling pace, it could become a problem if we trend back toward more sustainable levels,

The Fed wants to see results, and this report didn't give it to them, ... It looks right now as if the Fed will take out some extra insurance on June 25.

If they cut by 50 basis points, we may also see some movement down in the rest of the yield curve, ... If they cut by 25 basis points, I don't think it shows up in the rest of the curve.

The tone of the statement, which I read as being surprisingly upbeat, considering everything we've heard, seemed to indicate that the whole idea that they might buy [longer-term bonds] is off the table, ... Unless we have real signs the economy is faltering, we may have already seen the bottom in mid-to-long-term rates.

Almost all the intermediate level goods are rising, and rising sharply. Commodity prices are on the rise, there is no doubt about that. Finally, at the crude level, just about everything is increasing, ... This is not that tame a report.

If this report is supported over the next few months, then a summer increase in the funds rate is very possible.

The rate increases will start off slowly, but if inflation keeps accelerating, all bets are off afterward.

should not pressure the Fed into raising rates at more than a measured rate.

Because it was such a big change, out of the blue, my caution is just to say, let's wait a second, ... Maybe we should sit back, digest this number and see what comes of it.

If we sustain these numbers, that's worrisome.

Energy costs have been so high for so long that businesses aren't confident anymore that they'll fall or fall significantly, ... It's made them look toward trying to push through some smaller price increases.

But inflationary pressures are not going away, so the Fed will likely raise rates tomorrow and on December 13th and early next year,

Whatever impacts Katrina had in September were wiped out in October and the nation's service and construction industries are moving ahead smartly,

The underlying trend looks to still be in the 200,000 (jobs per month) range, ... And if that is correct, conditions are okay, really.

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