172 ordspråk av John Davidson

John Davidson

John Davidson föddes den 25 desember 1887
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This week they're worried more about the earnings warnings. The lack of the upward drive has allowed the stocks to drift lower.

I still like Maverick Tube, which is the largest provider of tubular product to that industry,

[He also likes financial issues on account of P/E ratios.] That sector now is selling at a considerable discount in terms of P/E to growth rate, ... So companies, in that sector, include Bank of New York, which reported and disappointed people, and brought the price down a little bit better.

Largely people are taking a look at historic information. They're looking at earnings and job cuts, and people are concerned. I think we're going to grind it out until earnings come back.

The crucial question is: What does the consumer do now? The answer will take some time to determine.

What people have to see are actions being taken. Words are part of it, and setting the tone and speaking out are part of it, ... But people need to see that the judicial branch goes after people who have done wrong and will able to punish them, and that the legislative branch makes changes in the laws, if deemed necessary.

We saw weakness in the economy, and that's the basis on which I'd say it is very possible they may cut rates, ... The real key is watching the economic indicators -- an awful lot of people look at the stock market and say, 'Greenspan needs to save us.' He has said he doesn't [make policy] for that reason. He will respond to weakness in the economy.

I don't think the economy is more likely to be better under the Republicans or the Democrats; a case can be made for each, ... The importance to the economy is really more with the Federal Reserve [interest-rate] decision that takes place on Nov. 6.

The interesting thing is that they did this on a day when economic information came out that was decidedly weaker than expected. It blunted what could have been a pretty bloody response. The resignations might have been planned for some time, but the fact that they were a secret and were released on exactly this date and at this time turned out to be very effective.

Bush needs pretty quickly to turn this economy around. If we languish for the next two years, it'll be the last two years of Bush's presidency.

If you look out into next week, you've got the weapons report from inspectors due and the current view is that people may be reluctant to put money to work ahead of that.

Some companies have beat, ... but earnings estimates have been lowered and comparisons are easy on a year-over-year basis, because last year was weak.

Housing will continue to be one of the economy's pillars, but it can't do it alone,

The market has now fully reflected its belief in a second-half pick up, but for the kind of rally we've seen to continue, you're going to need to start seeing evidence. The weekly jobless claims number this morning is a start, but it's not enough. We could be bouncing around in the next few weeks.

I think what you're seeing today and over the past week is a good indicator of where the market is right now and will likely be through the end of the year.

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