38 ordspråk av Ken Mayland

Ken Mayland

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If the Fed is wrong and inflation runs too high, out of control, there can be a catastrophic loss of confidence in the Fed that has national and international implications.

It's going to take more that a one-month decrease in consumer prices to knock the Fed off it rate-rise bandwagon.

Any long-term plan without an education component isn't a complete plan. We are seeing a brain drain.

We are still anchored down by our above-average dependence on the auto industry, which doesn't have much upside potential. GM is in a struggle for survival.

Consumer spending in the fourth quarter is going to be low, and capital spending and inventory rebuilding is what takes up the slack. There are also increases in government purchases, a lot of that going for Gulf reconstruction.

This employment report neither screams tighten further nor shouts stop here. More information from other indicators is needed to determine the proper course of policy.

We're grinding out some good increases here. We're producing more than we ever did and our capacity to produce industrial goods has increased.

The most encouraging signs in the December report was that inventories declined in an absolute sense and at a faster rate. That implies a need for future restocking and that should be a good sign for January, February and March.

I fully expect the economy to bounce back strongly in the first quarter. Auto sales will be stronger and inventories are still very lean, which points to a better first quarter.

What the Commerce Department calls savings is something different from what ordinary people call savings. Commerce calls savings basically current income not spent, whereas individuals call their savings really their wealth, their accumulation of all past savings.

We are definitely in the neighborhood of a neutral fed funds rate.

There's no question we're getting back to better days for job creation. There's been a sense of unease in the American workplace and this should help relieve that. The economy is getting on off to excellent start in 2006.

The economic expansion has matured to the point where corporate America feels it's safe to staff up.

There's no question we're getting back to better days for job creation.

This gives us some confidence that overall consumer spending growth in Q1 will be a lot better than Q4, and by implication, Q1 GDP growth will be much better.

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