34 ordspråk av Mark Rowen

Mark Rowen

Mark Rowen föddes den 28 oktober 1956
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New television technologies appear ready to take center stage this holiday season, as price declines of 20 percent to 30 percent per annum over the past few years have made flat-panel big-screen prices affordable to upper-middle-class and even middle-class households,

They had an awesome first quarter. They reported $313 million in revenue; we were looking for more like 248, 250. So it was a very, very impressive quarter.

They clearly, the two of them, have the best sites out there; consumers love going there and booking their own business.

We believe we're moving ever closer to the light at the end of the valuation tunnel on eBay. We find it interesting and amusing to note that as investors' risk/reward ratio had dramatically improved, the market has become increasingly jittery about the future prospects for eBay.

Clearly we are getting closer to the day when we'll be able to value eBay on traditional price/earnings metrics and although we would not argue that eBay is cheap based on our full-year 2001 EPS estimates of 40 cents a share, we do believe that eBay appears exceedingly inexpensive based on our full-year 2002 EPS estimate of 78 cents a share.

In our view, the remaining $2.7 billion of firm value is an implicit valuation for the rest of the product categories. We find it hard to understand why segments such as consumer electronics and toys should be valued at such a high level.

In our sum-of-the-parts valuation, we estimate that intrinsically, the stock could be worth as much as $27 a share, if all of the value were unlocked. While its is unclear whether management will choose to or be able to unlock some or all of this 'hidden' value, the company stated that it is conducting a strategic evaluation on all of its assets.

In theory, in order for free shipping offers to be successful, the company would have to generate enough incremental revenue and contribution profit to pay for the cost of the shipping promotion. However, we believe Amazon.com has consistently failed to generate anywhere near the amount of incremental revenue and profit needed to pay for the lost shipping fees.

In our opinion, such massive increases in active customers, coupled with massive increases in lifetime value, will be enormous challenges for a company with such high rates of customer defection.

With 2001 revenue growth rates now expected to be in a range of 9 to 18 percent and earnings per share growth expected to be negative 12 to 33 percent, we believe Yahoo!'s price-earnings multiple will contract until the company is able to demonstrate significantly higher growth rates.

After the bubble, the whole sector really started to crash and burn. But just like there was excess on the upside, there was excess on the downside, and what we're seeing now is that there are some real companies addressing very large markets that are now, for the first time, reaching scale and beginning to get to profitability.

The higher out-of-stock position suggests that either Toys 'R' Us is not allocating additional product to its online store, or that sales at both the online and physical stores are significantly higher than plan and Toys 'R' Us does not have available inventory, ... We believe it calls into question one of the key benefits of the Amazon/Toys 'R' Us alliance, and suggests a possible lack of alignment between the partners.

pretty good for a traditional retailer, but for an Internet company, we would expect much faster growth.

Amazon has to do two things well,

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