32 ordspråk av Nigel Gault

Nigel Gault

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Growth was very good in the third quarter. We really suspect that the last two reports greatly understated the underlying strength of the labor market.

Excluding autos, spending growth looks healthy -- not a blockbuster holiday season, but far better than it appeared a couple of months ago when gasoline prices were over $3 per gallon.

I don't think it's the case that we suddenly turn off the tap, and consumer spending stops dead in its tracks. It's more gradual.

Activity levels remain solid, indicating continued high demand for services. The outlook for early 2006 looks positive.

These figures suggest that growth is stable but not extremely strong. These figures should add to the conviction in financial markets that the Fed will soon be able to stop raising rates.

For a long time we've been looking for consumer spending to slow down, ... It's a question whether this is a trigger for a broader slowdown in consumer spending and the housing market.

With consumers likely to return to the malls from the auto showrooms, spending in other areas will pick up again, especially once cooler weather arrives to give a boost to fall clothing,

We are now at the point where Hurricane Katrina's effects are adding to job creation rather than detracting from it.

It seems that companies are continuing to find new ways to apply advanced technology to increase output per worker. It has been really incredible how much extra output companies have been able to pump out without dramatically increasing staffing.

Clearly the slowdown in housing will mean slower growth in the overall economy. The big question mark is how much damage there will be.

The initial reaction of the market is to say that this makes it less likely that the Federal Reserve will be able to stop rising rates just yet.

It is possible that the hurricanes that hit in August and September had a bigger impact on measured GDP growth in the fourth quarter than in the third. ... The hurricanes probably dragged on investment, too.

There is no sign at all now that US consumers have started to tighten their belts. This will increase the chances that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise rates up until May.

This latest report is unmistakable evidence of an improving economy. What you have to look for is evidence that the fourth-quarter slowdown in economic growth will continue. And this jobs report is evidence that just the opposite is happening.

For the construction workers, there will be probably not be so much work in new residential building, but there will be work in nonresidential building and there will also be work in reconstruction projects in the hurricane-affected areas. It's a mixed bag for construction.

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