136 ordspråk av Paul Kasriel

Paul Kasriel

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We should get a little better growth in the second half -- but not enough. By the end of the year, maybe we will have enough to stabilize the unemployment rate, but I think we will probably see a further drift up in the unemployment rate.

You're effectively lowering the cost of capital for corporations, and anything to lower that cost will help in inducing more plant and equipment spending.

It's growing rapidly, and it does suggest that we're going to see at least a temporary pickup in economic activity.

This reflects the low interest rates we saw earlier in the summer. While I wouldn't say that a major contraction is imminent yet, I suspect this is close to being the last hurrah.

It's not so much the size of the deficit, but what we're doing with the funds.

Since central banks aren't letting their currencies appreciate against the dollar, that implies that all the currencies will depreciate against gold and commodities in general.

The rest of the world has been saving so that we can spend more. We need to save and let the rest of the world spend more.

Consumer spending is going to slow down, but it's probably going to grow somewhere in the 2.75 to 3.5 percent range for the next several quarters.

The Fed is clearly not in the mood to preempt inflation. They're going to wait, and that ultimately will have some unpleasant ramifications.

O'Neill was like the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers playing in a dome -- they can't hear signals. O'Neill couldn't hear the signals the White House was sending, and they got rid of him. Presumably, Snow has better hearing.

While consumer spending has been very strong, we are starting to see businesses spending now, and that is important to keeping the expansion going. Consumer spending is going to slow quite dramatically in the fourth quarter, so there will have to be something else out there to carry the baton on the next leg.

All the data suggest the labor market is improving -- perhaps not as fast everyone would hope and want, but it's better than deteriorating.

Unfortunately, we no longer have the funds that could have been used to provide the seed money for Social Security privatization. It seems to me that he dropped the ball.

I've thought there would be some moderation in consumer spending this year, but I also thought that job growth would be better at this point than it has been. It may be that consumer spending will moderate even more than what I'm forecasting.

The dollar would have fallen faster or further had there not been this massive central bank intervention. If in fact they are going to cut back on their dollar-support activities, then the dollar is going to resume its decline, and that's going to have some inflationary implications.

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