49 ordspråk av Paul Nolte

Paul Nolte

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Wednesday was a pretty good day. For that to continue, I would expect a recovery [on Thursday], and ideally in that last hour of trading.

We may have broken out of our trading range, but we would like to see some follow-through before we commit additional dollars to the market.

We could see a 3 to 5 percent rally and still be within the context of a declining market,

I don't expect to see a sharp movement in stocks -- it will be a gradual erosion over time.

The economic numbers are driving the bus. As long as the numbers remain kind of weak, if it doesn't look like we're getting much of a turnaround, then markets can continue to slide.

But that's more of a short-term phenomenon than anything worth paying a lot of attention to, ... it's going to come down to better economic numbers.

I don't see inflation as a big deal in the classic sense. There are no wage pressures and no cost overruns. We're seeing inflation mainly in the price of gas and other commodities,

Greenspan is not going to wake up in June of next year and say 'I should have really raised rates more aggressively.' His legacy of price stability is pretty secure so I don't think the last six months of his tenure will destroy it for him.

Few companies are pounding the table and saying things are terrific so there's not the wild enthusiasm you would expect with a good earnings season,

The ISM report did have a big impact on the markets, and part of the reason is that the economy is now more of a service economy. And services are going to be much more directly and more immediately impacted by the higher energy prices we have seen.

We went from being expensive 10 years ago to crazy expensive, and now we're back to just expensive.

After a nice rally, investors are just taking a little bit of money off the table.

Investors are starting to realize that earnings aren't terrific. For every good earnings report, there are three or four to the downside. It also seems that the bigger names are the ones disappointing.

If you look at how the markets have been trading the last few days, we're seeing a much broader decline. We're not seeing a leader that can carry the day. It's not limited to a few stocks anymore. Disappointment is broadening out during this earnings cycle.

The upgrades are certainly helping Intel and Exxon, and that's boosting the Dow.

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