63 ordspråk av Phil Dow

Phil Dow

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This year I was a little surprised (at) how negatively people viewed the economy and that's translated into a very cautious trading community on Wall Street, ... I think we did pretty well. We had a 4.4 percent growth in GDP. That's better than in recent history and better than some of our trading partners.

Terrorism threats have been a wildcard out there and it looks like its happened again, ... It certainly looks like there is panic selling going on in Europe, but the day could still end flat to modestly higher.

Overall, I think there's been a profound change in sentiment after the market hit its five-year low in early October, ... The market is factoring in a possible resolution of the Iraq crisis. With the Republican victories in the midterm elections, there's a possibility of a tax cut for dividends. That's like a tectonic shift in fundamentals.

Right now, technology represents about 24 percent of the capitalization of the S&P, ... My guess is we're headed up to maybe the 20s or maybe 30 percent. If you look back historically, leading groups can capture that much of the market and I think technology's driving the market right now.

Right now, technology represents about 24 percent of the capitalization of the S&P. My guess is we're headed up to maybe the 20s or maybe 30 percent. If you look back historically, leading groups can capture that much of the market and I think technology's driving the market right now.

They have the best of breed kinds of companies in two really good industries. They have a natural gas pipeline company. In addition, a fiber optic network which will be 33,000 miles. Each have the wind at their back and we think the combined businesses conservatively are worth 60. Right now the stock trades for around 45. The company just announced a way to unlock that value with a spin-off of their Williams Communications Group. So we think it's just a matter of time before that stock reaches 60.

These software warnings have got people thinking that companies aren't spending their wads of cash. There may have been some unrealistic expectations, so I'm waiting to see how the rest of the tech sector does.

It's frightening if you chase performance. One reason why investors went into Japan is that they saw the markets perked up there.

I think a productive economy is the main thing people should take home with them. This is a unique period in American history. I think we'll look back on it as a time you wanted to own stocks rather than trade stocks. I think, secondarily, corporate America is showing good earnings reports. The second half of this year may be lower than the second half of last year, but they're still robust, probably in the high teens. I think if you focus on financial guide posts, that eventually will drive prices. I think you'll see the market in general do better as the year wears on.

This year, the market is trying to tell you to be selective. If you look at the stocks that have moved, it really has not been just 30 big stocks; it's been all asset classes, all styles -- value and growth have delivered. The ones that are really getting fundamental financial guide, post-traction are those that are delivering. So my guess is selectivity is the key, and I think you've got to be in kind of best-of-breed solutions right now.

I think the main impact of the election has been a degree of uncertainty. Once we know who the president will be it will be very much like Y2K -- it will come and go. You have to focus on sales and earnings, and those have been pretty robust.

wants to cut taxes and spend the surplus.

If you have any kind of cut or a neutral bias, the markets will move higher.

I think it's still emotional and we've seen a manic depressive market. It has very little to do with the economy and my guess is it will wash out at some point ? I think we're getting close here.

I think most folks are under-diversified, and I'd like to see more names in a portfolio,

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